Friar Basketball

Draft Express Breaks Down Bryce Cotton’s Game


A terrific scouting report on Bryce Cotton courtesy of Derek Bodner.  Some highlights:

According to Synergy Sports Technology, the 6’1″ guard produced upwards of 85% of his offense off of spot-up opportunities, in transition, and off of cuts to the basket his freshman season. That number has now dropped to 37.5%, as Cotton has been asked to create more of his offense and assume a larger role in the Providence offense.

Cotton’s primary asset is still his jumper, which accounts for over 75% of his shot-attempts in the half-court. He sports excellent form and gets very good elevation on his jump shot, with range well out beyond the collegiate three point line. Cotton now attempts 8.8 three point attempts per 40 minutes pace adjusted, which represents roughly 40% of his field goal attempts and over 50% of the three point attempts the Providence team attempts.

Much more of a standstill shooter his first two years, Cotton now is a major threat coming off screens as well. He does a good job constantly moving when he’s off the ball, running off baseline screens and freeing himself up. He does a good job of getting his shot off quickly, with good body control coming off the screen and good balance on his shot.

Cotton is also a prolific scorer off the dribble, something he didn’t do much of during his earlier years. According to Synergy, Cotton attempted 61 jump shots during his freshman year, 57 of which were in catch and shoot situations. Pull-up jumpers now represent roughly 12% of his offense, most of which come in pick and roll situations. Cotton’s balance coming to a stop is once again solid, and he displays solid mechanics shooting off the dribble. As he continues to get more repetitions in, this should continue to be a staple of his game.


On his play-making potential:

While his 3.2 assists per 40 minutes pace adjusted can be partially explained by Providence’s overall lack of scoring options outside of Cotton, he does not appear to be a very instinctive passer, with relatively mediocre court vision, recognition, and ability to control tempo. The threat he provides scoring off the pick and roll gives him some opportunities to create offense for teammates, but he is by and large not able to capitalize on the attention his receives, and this will be a major question mark for him moving forward, as his size limits his ability to play off the ball.

The graduation of teammate Vincent Council this spring could give Cotton more of an opportunity to show he can run a team next season, even if current freshman Kris Dunn will surely at least need to share ball-handling responsibilities. On the positive side, Cotton turns the ball over very infrequently, with his 1.9 turnovers per 40 minutes pace adjusted being one of the better marks for point guards in our database, particularly for one who carries as much of the scoring load as Cotton does.


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